U.S. Economy

Fed Kept Interest Rates Flat Again — But Barely Budged on 2024 Rate Cut Forecasts

The Federal Reserve opted on Wednesday December 13 to hold interest rates at the same level they’ve sat since July

The Federal Reserve opted on Wednesday December 13 to hold interest rates at the same level they’ve sat since July, as the central bank’s impactful rate-hiking cycle appears all but over, though the Fed remains coy about doing a complete 180 degree turn.

The Federal Open Markets Committee voted to keep the target federal funds rate at 5.25% to 5.5%, a widely expected move, marking the third consecutive hold.

The Fed simultaneously released its quarterly longer-run projections for interest rates, and median staff forecasts were for rates to settle at 4.6% at the end of next year and 3.6% at the end of 2025; Goldman Sachs economists projected the Fed would share 2024 and 2025 rate forecasts of 4.9% and 3.6%, respectively.

The Federal Reserve was expected to leave interest rates unchanged at the end of its policy meeting yesterday. The so-called dot plot showed that few members expected further hikes, while most anticipated the central bank will need to start cutting rates next year to stimulate economic growth as inflation nears the Fed’s 2% goal.

Many economists also expected Fed officials to hold rates at current levels for much of next year. Financial markets, however, expect the Fed to cut rates as early as next spring.

Investing Ideas

Commodity Prices To Remain Lackluster, but Midstream Companies Will Do Better in 2024

Multiple names have already provided financial guidance for 2024, and most others will provide guidance during earnings season.

International

Singapore’s Core Inflation Eased Down to 3.2 Percent in November

Singapore’s core inflation dipped to 3.2% YoY in November, official data showed on Tuesday, Dec 26.

International

China Real Estate Crisis Threatens Goal of Doubling Country’s GDP

If the Chinese real estate bubble bursts and triggers a financial crisis, the nation's economic growth will be stuck at around 1%